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By Ravi Mehta, Ph.D.

 

 

  When good political relations stop, when the political relations fail to turn good, the transport link fails, trade stops, LC use stops. The example?  The Indian sub-continent. This is the story of fortunes and misfortunes of the trade train, rise and fall of trade, and prospects and problems of LC, between India and Pakistan. The trade train arrangement is between the Indian city Amritsar and the Pakistani city Lahore. When the train runs the trade businesses on either side run successfully. When the politics stops the train the businesses on either side are ruined.  Who cares whether the business flops or prospers? The politicians either side care about their political “pride and prejudice”. If they see their political fortune in  trade failure they would not mind trade failure. If they see their political fortune in trade development they will strive for trade promotion. They are opportunists.

 

 

 

Indian sub-continent - a region where political “pride and prejudice” is more important than regional economic development 

 

 

 

 

A region where “trade and LC” is at the mercy of politicians

 

 

Amritsar, the city of Golden Temple, is the city of trade opportunities, and gateway to international trade

Lahore, Amritsar’s best trading partner and port of destination.

The two cities – politically separate, but emotionally united


 

 

The author and editor of LC VIEWS was born in the  city of  Rawalpindi, which at that time was part of India being ruled by the British Empire . During the political partition of India in 1947 the city became a part of new country, Pakistan. He, then 2 year old, migrated to India – born in India, migrated to India how strange it is. He passed, as his late father told, through Lahore, another city of new country Pakistan, on way to India. We lived in poverty, in a refugee camp. Ten years later the author’s wife was born in Amritsar in free India. Amritsar borders Pakistan. It is very close to Lahore.  Amritsar and Lahore now trade with each other as part of the trade agreement between India and Pakistan. A biweekly train service links the cities and their traders. Amritsar imports in particular dry fruit from Pakistan. The author’s wife always buys the imported dry fruit in Amritsar whenever she visits India.

 

When the author  was working in a bank in India he had the opportunity to visit the bank’s Amritsar branch to impart on- the -job training on international banking. He used the real trade LC and documents received from Pakistan as teaching aids.

 

The trade between Amritsar and Lahore rises or falls depending upon the political situation between India and Pakistan. The train service between India and Pakistan starts or stops depending upon the politicians’ mood on either side. When the politicians on either side trade allegations, the commercial trade stops. When the trade  stops LC use ipso facto stops.  When the political situation again improves trade situation improves. As a result, the LC prospects brighten again.   Right now, the political situation is good. Trade is good. LC business is good. The UCP knowledge and services of the LC specialist are now in great use in trade between India and Pakistan.  The Indian subcontinent is the best example of the political impact on trade and LC businesses. It is the best laboratory to research the impact of politics on trade. The story of trade between India and Pakistan is the story of trade rise and fall in the fluctuating political climate.

 

The trade train may stop during bad political relations, but the traders’ love either side to trade does not stop.  They keep waiting for train as a trade facility. They keep waiting for trade opportunities. They keep waiting for improvement in the political situation. The politicians of India and Pakistan may have love/hate relations among themselves, but the traders of these countries always love each other. Amritsar and Lahore share Punjabi culture - the author belongs to the Punjabi culture. The author’s favorite Pakistani singer was the late Noor Jahan.

 

When the author was working on the faculty of the staff training college of the bank at Chandigarh, he used to read the popular local daily The Tribune. In this newspaper the author once wrote “Swiss Banking: Myths and Facts”. The Tribune  on its website sums up the fortunes and misfortunes of the train link as trade link between Amritsar and Lahore. The train has legendary trade name: Samjhauta Express.

 

Www.tribuneindia.com writes: SAMJHAUTA EXPRESS, the train of "love and emotions", has been the harbinger of prosperity for hundreds of small and medium scale importers and exporters from both India and Pakistan. Formal trade ties were established between the two countries in 1975 under the Simla Agreement. Indian exporters vied with the South-East Asian, American and European business communities to sell an array of items ranging from iron and steel ingots, timber, refrigerators, scooters, cement and tyres, besides traditional goods like spices, tea, fresh vegetables, textiles, electrical and electronic goods.

 

 

More than 173 items were listed for trade between the countries. With Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto in the saddle in Pakistan, the trade ties between the two countries flourished. However, after the army coup, General Zia-ul-Haq made stringent laws to curb Indian trade.

When Benazir Bhutto took over as Prime Minister in the early 80s, the focus again shifted to India and, later under the SAARC Agreement, trade once again looked up. India granted Pakistan the "most favored nation" status but Pakistan did not make a reciprocal gesture. The euphoria over open trade died down soon after as the fundamentalist elements in Pakistan objected to the free movement of commodities.

 The last three years have seen an upsurge in trade with the listing of sugar under the OGL (open general licence) to meet the shortfall in its production. India imported sugar in huge quantities during 1998-99, besides dry dates and rock salt and exported soya meal feed, ginger, cardamom, spices, tyres and cement.

Indian traders feel that they had been able to forge a feeling of trust and faith with their counterparts in Pakistan. The traders here felt that as Samjhauta express was the only link to Lahore and other destinations, this train was their only hope. They all favored the continuation of the train service and suggested that the police and the Customs should step up their vigil and foil the bid of some mischievous elements to snap the link that is beneficial to the people as well as business.

Conclusion

From the Indian sub-continent case study we conclude the hypothesis that political climate impacts trade and LC businesses is a proven correct theory.   We conclude with the hope that the political climate will remain favorable in the sub-continent to nurture trade and development in India and Pakistan. We wish good Acts of politicians, good Acts of God in the Indian sub-continent! Live peacefully and let “trade and LC” live successfully. 


[Also available in LC VIEWS Newsletter no. 54 / July 2006]